Meet Up: Enhanced Scenario Analysis
featuring Mark Kritzman, CFA
Investors have long relied on scenario analysis as an alternative to mean-variance analysis to help them construct portfolios. Even though mean-variance analysis accounts for all potential scenarios, many investors find it difficult to implement because it requires them to specify statistical features of asset classes which are often unintuitive and difficult to estimate. Scenario analysis, by contrast, requires only that investors specify a small set of potential outcomes as projections of economic variables and assign probabilities to their occurrence. It is, therefore, more intuitive than mean-variance analysis, but it is highly subjective. The authors propose to replace the subjective elements of scenario analysis with a robust statistical process.
MARK KRITZMAN, CFA is a Founding Partner and CEO of Windham Capital Management, LLC and the Chairman of Windham's investment committee. He is responsible for managing research activities and investment advisory services. He is also a Founding Partner of State Street Associates, and he teaches a graduate finance course at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Mark served as a Founding Director of the International Securities Exchange and has served on several boards, including the Advisory Board of GIC, the Institute for Quantitative Research in Finance, The Investment Fund for Foundations, and State Street Associates. He is also a member of several advisory and editorial boards, including, the Advisory Board of the MIT Sloan Finance Group, the Board of Governors of St. John's University, the Emerging Markets Review, the Journal of Alternative Investments, the Journal of Derivatives, the Journal of Investment Management, where he is Book Review Editor, and The Journal of Portfolio Management. He has written numerous articles for academic and professional journals and is the author or co-author of seven books including A Practitioner's Guide to Asset Allocation, Puzzles of Finance, and The Portable Financial Analyst. Mark won Graham and Dodd scrolls in 1993 and 2002, the Research Prize from the Institute for Quantitative Investment Research in 1997, the Bernstein Fabozzi/Jacobs Levy Award nine times, the Roger F. Murray Prize from the Q-Group in 2012, and the Peter L. Bernstein Award in 2013 for Best Paper in an Institutional Investor Journal. In 2004, Mark was elected a Batten Fellow at the Darden Graduate School of Business Administration, University of Virginia. Mark has a BS in economics from St. John's University, an MBA with distinction from New York University, and a CFA designation.
Please note, attendees are asked to bring their own lunches.
There is no charge for Members for this event, however registration is required in advance.
*The Auditorium is located on the Ground Floor and can be accessed by entering the building on 100 Federal Street side. The auditorium will be on your right before security and you will not need to go through security by accessing the building from the 100 Federal Street side.